By 2037, the global population is projected to reach nine billion, driven by significant increases in specific regions. A United Nations report from September 2024 outlines the countries expected to contribute the most to this growth, providing insight into the global demographic landscape.
The report identifies 10 countries responsible for the largest shares of the upcoming billion people. Five of these nations are in Africa, highlighting the continent's rapid population growth, while four are located in Asia, emphasizing the region's sustained demographic momentum. The United States is the only country outside these two regions to make the list, reflecting its relatively high immigration rates.
Indonesia’s Role in Population Growth
Indonesia, Southeast Asia's largest nation, is the sole representative from the region on this list. The United Nations estimates that the country will add 25 million people to its population by 2037. This increase underscores Indonesia's status as a significant contributor to global demographic trends, reflecting its ongoing economic and social development.
As the world’s fourth-most populous country, Indonesia's growing population presents both opportunities and challenges. While a larger workforce could boost economic output, it will also require robust policies in areas like infrastructure, education, and healthcare to sustain growth.
Key Contributors: India and Nigeria
India, already the most populous country globally, is expected to add an astonishing 147 million people by 2037. This increase is comparable to the current population of Russia, further solidifying India's position as a demographic powerhouse. Such growth highlights the need for strategic planning in urbanization, resource management, and employment generation.
Nigeria, Africa's largest economy and most populous nation, is projected to make the second-largest contribution to global population growth. Its rising population is set to transform the economic and social dynamics of the region, emphasizing the importance of investments in education and healthcare to capitalize on the demographic dividend.
Broader Trends and Regional Absences
These 10 countries collectively account for 49% of the projected population growth by 2037. Notably, no countries from Latin America, Oceania, or Europe feature on the list, indicating that these regions will experience slower population growth or stagnation. This demographic disparity highlights the global shift in population dynamics, with Africa and Asia leading the way.
Global population growth is anticipated to peak in the 2080s, potentially exceeding 10 billion. These projections underscore the need for sustainable development strategies worldwide to address the challenges and opportunities of an expanding population.