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India will overtake China as the world's most populated country in three months
PEOPLE Beyond

India will overtake China as the world's most populated country in three months

According to a United Nations estimate, India will overtake China as the world's most populated country within the next three months.

According to a United Nations assessment, India is predicted to exceed China in terms of the overall population by April and would have about 1.7 billion people by 2050, compared to China's expected 1.31 billion, according to Yahoo News.

If the report's forecasts are correct, China's population in 2050 will be 8% lower than it is now, which The Economist attributes to China's rigorous family planning laws, which have contributed to a fall in birth rates.

Meanwhile, India's population is predicted to account for more than a sixth of the global rise in working-age people aged 15 to 64 between now and 2050.

One-fourth of India's 1.41 billion inhabitants are under the age of 15, and almost half are under the age of 25. In contrast, barely a quarter of China's 1.45 billion inhabitants are under the age of 25.

"Most people believe India's economy is only a fraction of what it may be in the future," Dr. Audrey Truschke, an associate professor of South Asian history at Rutgers University, told Yahoo News.

"The Indian subcontinent has always had a healthy human population. India has long been likened to China, and the two countries have long traded with one another. As much as human history has changed, there is something that has remained constant - both the subcontinent's dense population and the comparison to China."

Since 1950, India and China have been responsible for an estimated 35% of the global population increase.

Certain places of China have sought to address the population drop, which, according to Bloomberg, is occurring considerably quicker than projected, by giving financial incentives to couples to have children.

"The steps implemented to increase birth rates were much too little, far too late, and were entirely overwhelmed by the impact of COVID-Zero on birth rates," said Christopher Beddor, deputy China research director at Gavekal Dragonomics.

"The basic difficulty is that policy can only do so much in this area since dropping birth rates are driven by profound structural issues," Beddor remarked. "The leadership appears to have grasped, if belatedly, that those challenges are quite serious and approaching very rapidly." 

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